Learn on PengienVision, Mathematics, Grade 8Chapter 4: Investigate Bivariate Data

Lesson 3: Use Linear Models to Make Predictions

In this Grade 8 enVision Mathematics lesson from Chapter 4, students learn how to use the equation of a trend line to make predictions from scatter plots by substituting x-values and interpreting slope and y-intercept in real-world contexts. Students practice writing linear equations from bivariate data, then apply those models to predict outcomes such as Olympic skating times, fuel economy, and smoothie sales. The lesson builds core skills in analyzing linear relationships within sets of data to draw conclusions about current and future trends.

Section 1

The Core Formula: Slope and Y-Intercept

Property

The slope-intercept form for a linear equation is y=mx+by = mx + b, where mm is the slope of the line and the point (0,b)(0, b) is the y-intercept.

The slope formula between two points (x1,y1)(x_1, y_1) and (x2,y2)(x_2, y_2) is m=y2y1x2x1m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}.

This formula calculates the ratio of the change in the y-coordinates (rise) to the change in the x-coordinates (run).

Section 2

Writing Equations for Lines of Best Fit

Property

A line of best fit through a scatter plot can be modeled with a linear equation by selecting two points that the line passes through or nearly passes through.
Use these points (x1,y1)(x_1, y_1) and (x2,y2)(x_2, y_2) to calculate the slope m=y2y1x2x1m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}, then substitute the slope and either point into the point-slope form to write the equation of the line of best fit.

Examples

Section 3

Using a Line of Fit to Make Predictions

Property

We can use a line of fit (trend line) drawn through a scatter plot to make predictions about data values.

We can estimate values between known data points or predict values beyond the range of our data using the trend line equation.

Book overview

Jump across lessons in the current chapter without opening the full course modal.

Continue this chapter

Chapter 4: Investigate Bivariate Data

  1. Lesson 1

    Lesson 1: Construct and Interpret Scatter Plots

  2. Lesson 2

    Lesson 2: Analyze Linear Associations

  3. Lesson 3Current

    Lesson 3: Use Linear Models to Make Predictions

  4. Lesson 4

    Lesson 4: Interpret Two-Way Frequency Tables

  5. Lesson 5

    Lesson 5: Interpret Two-Way Relative Frequency Tables

Lesson overview

Expand to review the lesson summary and core properties.

Expand

Section 1

The Core Formula: Slope and Y-Intercept

Property

The slope-intercept form for a linear equation is y=mx+by = mx + b, where mm is the slope of the line and the point (0,b)(0, b) is the y-intercept.

The slope formula between two points (x1,y1)(x_1, y_1) and (x2,y2)(x_2, y_2) is m=y2y1x2x1m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}.

This formula calculates the ratio of the change in the y-coordinates (rise) to the change in the x-coordinates (run).

Section 2

Writing Equations for Lines of Best Fit

Property

A line of best fit through a scatter plot can be modeled with a linear equation by selecting two points that the line passes through or nearly passes through.
Use these points (x1,y1)(x_1, y_1) and (x2,y2)(x_2, y_2) to calculate the slope m=y2y1x2x1m = \frac{y_2 - y_1}{x_2 - x_1}, then substitute the slope and either point into the point-slope form to write the equation of the line of best fit.

Examples

Section 3

Using a Line of Fit to Make Predictions

Property

We can use a line of fit (trend line) drawn through a scatter plot to make predictions about data values.

We can estimate values between known data points or predict values beyond the range of our data using the trend line equation.

Book overview

Jump across lessons in the current chapter without opening the full course modal.

Continue this chapter

Chapter 4: Investigate Bivariate Data

  1. Lesson 1

    Lesson 1: Construct and Interpret Scatter Plots

  2. Lesson 2

    Lesson 2: Analyze Linear Associations

  3. Lesson 3Current

    Lesson 3: Use Linear Models to Make Predictions

  4. Lesson 4

    Lesson 4: Interpret Two-Way Frequency Tables

  5. Lesson 5

    Lesson 5: Interpret Two-Way Relative Frequency Tables